The front page of today's Washington Post reports "
Northern Va. Republicans Try to Regroup". It's good to see that the Post is still on top of this story that has had little movement since they reported essentially the
same story, five months ago.
In the article, VCU professor
Robert D. Holsworth points out that"Fairfax is now a Democratic county. Certainly the Democrats believe that they have an opportunity to be very competitive." WOW! I wonder if he was tipped off by the decade-old Democratic control of the Board of Supervisors or the fact that a county with a million people only boosts 4 state delegates? I certainly hope this is an excerpt from a much longer complicated quote that the Post didn't think its readers would fully understand.
The Post also reports that
Senators Ken Cuccinelli and
Jay O'Brien "might be vulnerable in elections next year." That bombshell is released after a paragraph discussing
Sen. Jeannemarie Devolites Davis' efforts to allow localities to raise taxes for transportation issues.
The article then closes with
Deputy AG Bill Mims saying that Northern Virginia "is a very practical electorate looking for solutions and not ideological debate".
Mims' statement would make sense if GOP loses were limited to races where conservative ideologues lost to moderate "pragmatic" Democrats, but that simply has not been the case.
Delegate Tom Bolvin campaigned as a centrist in 2003 when he lost re-election to the ideologically liberal
Mark Sickles. In 2004, Fairfax voted for a liberal Massachusetts Senator while the rest of the Commonwealth re-elected
President Bush by an 8-point margin. In 2005, when voters in the HOD 37th were given a choice between two qualified centrist candidates, they went with the Democrat.
The problem is not that Fairfax voters dislike ideology, the problem is that many of them dislike Republicans. In 2003, Cuccinelli and Devolites both showed this can be overcome with strong organizations, smart strategy, and attractive personalities. To win in 2007, they will have to do it again.